08/15/2002 -
CIA's evidence of Iraqi threat lacks 'smoking gun'
By John Diamond, USA TODAY
WASHINGTON U.S. intelligence cannot say conclusively that Saddam Hussein has weapons of mass destruction, an information gap that is complicating White House efforts to build support for an attack on Saddam's Iraqi regime.
The CIA has advised top administration officials to assume that Iraq has some weapons of mass destruction. But the agency has not given President Bush a "smoking gun," according to U.S. intelligence and administration officials.
The difficulty that lack of proof is causing the administration was evident in comments Thursday by national security adviser Condoleezza Rice. Rice told the BBC that Washington believes it has a "moral case" for removing Saddam, but she was careful not to say that Iraq currently possesses chemical, biological or nuclear arms.
Instead, Rice spoke of the danger Saddam would pose, "if he gets weapons of mass destruction and the means to deliver them."
Administration officials say this sense of uncertainty is influencing Bush's preparations for a major effort to sell his Iraq policy this fall.
A combination of factors Saddam's record of aggression, Iraq's support of terrorism, its hostility toward the United States and its interest in developing chemical, biological and nuclear weapons forms the major justification for ousting Saddam, U.S. officials say.
But without clear proof of Iraqi weapons of mass destruction, administration officials worry whether the fear of a future Iraqi threat will be enough to win broad support for a military strike.
The most recent unclassified CIA report on the subject goes no further than saying it is "likely" that Iraq has used the four years since United Nations inspectors left the country to rebuild chemical and biological weapons programs.
The greatest fear in Washington is that Iraq will develop a nuclear weapon, but the CIA says that is years away unless Iraq manages to buy black market fissile material.