“Good things come slow – especially in distance running.”

Pondering as I type this to go out at 8:45 pace and see how long I can hold on knowing the second half could half miles over 9:00 due to fighting the wind.

How many other people run this race, and how many finish around the 2hr barrier? You may have the opportunity for some drafting that would cut down on the impact of the wind. Although I seem to remember you being relatively tall, or am I misremembering?
 
How many other people run this race, and how many finish around the 2hr barrier? You may have the opportunity for some drafting that would cut down on the impact of the wind. Although I seem to remember you being relatively tall, or am I misremembering?
Last year they had 1,752 finishers in the half. 22 people finished from 1:59:00 to 2:00:00. Pacers for 1:50:00, or 2:00:00. Finding something in the middle would be nice. I'm 6'-5" so drafting doesn't work so well lol. On my last race I found a group early on that held a pace that I was not planning to run. Thought I would be much slower that day, so if I can stumble upon a group running the 8:45 pace and I dont have to think about it I'll have a much better chance of making it. Last week I had some good runs that have boosted my confidence. My typical 3-5 mile runs have been around 8:30 ish pace and did 5 miler a week ago with a warm up (9:17) and cool down (8:40) mile and miles 2-4 as 8:00, 7:50, and 8:00.
If we want to get real crazy and believe in Garmins race predictor, it has me at 1:48:41 lol. So I highly doubt Im near that but maybe 1:55:00 could be in the cards? Would be nice to secure a coral A POT for WDW this weekend which I think would require a 1:54:30 or better...
 
Last year they had 1,752 finishers in the half. 22 people finished from 1:59:00 to 2:00:00. Pacers for 1:50:00, or 2:00:00. Finding something in the middle would be nice. I'm 6'-5" so drafting doesn't work so well lol.

That's what I thought. Yea drafting at 6'5" is tough, and probably will be some, but minimal, assistance.

If we want to get real crazy and believe in Garmins race predictor, it has me at 1:48:41 lol. So I highly doubt Im near that but maybe 1:55:00 could be in the cards? Would be nice to secure a coral A POT for WDW this weekend which I think would require a 1:54:30 or better...

The 24 min 5k says a 1:52 is feasible, and the two 10 milers say around a 2:01. I'd err towards the 10 miler if you don't feel as if your endurance has increased a ton since the 5k. I'd probably say stick with the 2hr pace group through the first half, and then turn it on late if you find you've got boundless energy remaining. Even though the first half is with the wind, then you'd just be saving energy before it gets tough.
 
That's what I thought. Yea drafting at 6'5" is tough, and probably will be some, but minimal, assistance.



The 24 min 5k says a 1:52 is feasible, and the two 10 milers say around a 2:01. I'd err towards the 10 miler if you don't feel as if your endurance has increased a ton since the 5k. I'd probably say stick with the 2hr pace group through the first half, and then turn it on late if you find you've got boundless energy remaining. Even though the first half is with the wind, then you'd just be saving energy before it gets tough.
I feel I've gotten some better runs in since the 5k, but not as many as I hoped until more recently. The smart thing to do is to probably aim for the 2 hour goal as you mentioned and see if maybe I can turn it up some on the back half. I still have a half in March, the weather can be anywhere from 40 to 75 on race day for that one though lol.
 













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