#2 these people were already purchasing max pass and individual LL so there won’t be any extra people in line that weren’t already there before.
That's not really something you can say. We only get to WDW about every 5 or 6 years, did we purchase MP in 2019 at DL? Yeah (well 5 out of the 6 total days in 2019). Did we purchase
Genie+ in 2022 at WDW? No and part of that was because we were there for a wedding and we would be touring with friends for portions of the trip where it was not as easy to utilize Genie+. Did we buy DPA (Disney Premier Pass) at Tokyo
Disneyland and DisneySea? Without hesitation we did although they allow you to purchase for the same attraction if you want which was more attractive. If I went frequently enough I would still purchase it there in Japan because the lines are simply too long without them.
Would we purchase this newer product at WDW whenever we get back? Hmm IDK it's more about what it is, what it gets me and how it's been working if I would purchase it or not. MK seems like the park that would be worth it more due to the number of attractions but then again we've gone enough so it could come down to if we thought we were going on a really busy time.
As with many facets of the trip over the years that Disney has released something that costs something just who does it and how frequently they opt to purchase that depends.
This newer product takes you more to what Universal has, a watered down once-through EP, but it's more akin to that. I could see people who aren't as disgruntled with Disney but wish they had more of what Universal has and opting to purchase this newer product because it speaks to one of the most wanted features of EP which is you just walk up to the line with no planning. If anything I would say the people who are like this would be more the ones to utilize this newer product who were NOT using Genie+/ILL, Multi-lane LL and Single-lane LL because the present way has planning and time schedules and the like involved. There's the other group who won't purchase based on price even if they like the no planning feature but others who are fine with the price could.