There is a difference between a larger contract in lower demand resorts with lots of listings like SSR and a small contract at a more in demand resort in a specific UY.
I think it comes down to how much you need the contract and how soon.
100 percent. Completely different negotiating position.
It’s all supply and demand. You know how urgent it is to get it (sooner or later), and how available the type of contract is. So that’s what you base your offer on, & that can/will change based on those same factors, when a trip is coming and you need the points 11months out, or you don’t need them for a year.
Yes, this ^
Truth, that’s a factor that doesn’t get talked about enough. I think I may have missed out on some deals thinking I needed to save $4 per point when the total is so small overall.
It’s all supply and demand. You know how urgent it is to get it (sooner or later), and how available the type of contract is. So that’s what you base your offer on, & that can/will change based on those same factors, when a trip is coming and you need the points 11months out, or you don’t need them for a year.
Yes, this ^
100 points at SSR vs 40 points at BCV.
For most of my contracts I have been very focused on “the deal”. But the small contract world is a different game.
Its a little bit of a view into the future for all 2042 resorts, just that the beach resorts will never hold up like the park resorts.
Even with a 200 point contract the overall difference is fairly insignificant in comparison to the overall cost of owning a contract
We are buying a 217 pt Vero for $30 per point. Waiting on ROFR that surely they will pass on.
I hope you’re right because I would be happy to buy more beach club points, but I don’t think they’ll fall below $70 for a decade or more because each remaining year of BCV and BWV, the points have a cash equivalent of $20-40/point, and dues are around $7/pt. If you are actually able to book 11m out and will use them at their home resort, even with only a decade left you can easily get $125-$150/pt, more if you’re determined. I strongly suspect a huge chunk of BWV owners are commercial renters who have done the math and found the nights that BWV works out to $40-70/pt. I think BWV could slide significantly if renting is ever banned, but would still eventually stabilize over $60/pt as long as there are more than 5 years remaining.
They will all hit $0, but I really think BC/BW will trade closer to the discounted cash price of the underlying resort less dues. There is just so much demand for the location that will set a floor & their point charts make them incredible values.
I've been using the dvcrofr.com pricing tool and because I already have what I want, I just make sure that my offer is in the top 10% (ok, I lie. I want to be top). If you can get more than 10% under the board sponsor's Instant Sale price then you know that you are really cooking.
