I use Touring Plans app, but I don't get updates like the ones the PP is describing, just the once a year that my subscription is about to expire. How do you get the email updates?
From my experience with them (a few years ago now), they always made adjustments to the dates we were planning.
Sounds like things are the same.
It is called a forecast. As more information is added, it refigures the information. No forecast is going to be 100% as you are essentially attempting to predict the future by using information from the past. There are too many variables that could change things.
I actually am glad to see all the updates because it most likely would mean they are adding information and running the possible scenarios. That said, I would not worry to much as things can change the week of.
If you understand what Touring Plans, EasyWDW, and Tour Guide Mike are... then you know that they will never be the be all, end all of what could happen.
From my experience with them (a few years ago now), they always made adjustments to the dates we were planning.
Sounds like things are the same.
Ok sure.. it's a forecast. We get that. But what possible scenarios do you need to run to know that Epcot isn't going to be a 2 on a weekend during food and wine?
Or 20 updates.. yes 20.. since I started tracking my dates. That's excessive.
I've had touring plans for years. This year I am noticing way more changes than ever. When you give me 10 or so changes that are tweaking crowds levels and details.. I get that. When you are changing my numbers from 2's and 3's to 8's and 9's and back to 3's and back to 8's then it's messing with my plans far more than it's helping.
You know, I originally thought this too, but if you think about it does make sense.
TP is based around attraction wait times, not F&W kiosk wait times, therefore, if you are going to ride rides, it might make sense to go when the bulk of the crowd is noshing around WS, and not in line at Test Track.
I totally understand that F&W will increase the number of people in the park, but not necessarily increase wait times at the attractions.
All that being said, a touring plan for the F&W booths is something I could really get behind!
Just my 2 cents... If I were you, I'd go with my current plan and then change on a whim while in the parks and based on my judgment about how the crowds felt. I WOULDN'T change on a whim ahead of time based on TP's forecasts changing... certainly not the way those forecasts have looked these days.
This may be exactly what you meant anyway, but I thought I'd put this out there, just in case...
I understand that estimates can change and that it's not an exact science but I think what people are saying is there seems to be a LOT more changes recently than in the past. I've found the same thing. I don't think I got ANY changes for my trip last year; this year I'm getting several emails a week that parks are changing from Best Parks to Parks to Avoid, then back to Best Park.
We used to use them, and it got to the point that they were so off the beaten path that they weren't worth the money anymore. They were saying Parks were in the low numbers, we would go, and it would be INSANELY busy. After this happening several times, we gave up on them.