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#46 | |
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Mouseketeer
Join Date: Apr 2012
Posts: 226
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I have argued the pricing of direct on small contracts in the past and I decided to agree to disagree when people say to never buy direct. I don't see the point of staying offsite and spending the money when Disney will finance 50 points to a new member for 1 year at around 9% with 50% down payment. The totals direct on a 50 point contract at Old Key West would be. 50 points @ $100= $5000 Closing is about $80 Down payment of $2540 Loan of 1 year $222.13 a month Total interest 125.52. That is for OKW 2057 points. OKW extended are selling for high $60 to Low $70 a point on smaller contracts with $500-$700 in closing. Total difference in price at 50 points is about $1000 or 20% of the total. That $1000 can be quickly eaten up in a stay or two offsite. |
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#47 | |||
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DIS Veteran
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At any time someone can post on here "I know that $165 a point for BLT is crazy high but it's been a lifelong dream for me to own there and the only way I can do it is to buy direct and finance and despite all the costs it will make me happy and that's all I care about" and they will receive very little arguments. They may receive advice citing the possible financial pitfalls, but rarely does anybody say anything derogatory about them or their decision. Where disagreements happen is when people make inaccurate financial statements (like your post above) to justify what for them is an emotionally driven purchase. That will almost always get questioned, and rightfully so. Quote:
What I remember people saying, and it is true, is that from a sheer financial standpoint, VB is the worst contract to buy. The high maintenance fees make it an extremely risky purchase and with limited options for exit strategies. A direct purchase at VB has almost no possibility of break even as compared to renting points. And, buying at VB to stay at WDW resorts is a risky proposition because it is more costly and there is no 11 month booking window. I don't know how you can debate that from a financial standpoint. I'm sorry that you are feeling attacked, but if you're really reading what I'm saying it has nothing to do with you personally and it has everything to do with math.
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#48 |
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DIS Veteran
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Very good point about the renting. In this case I mentioned staying offsite because that is what the OP said was other choice. But you're totally right, renting and saving to purchase is another way to go.
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#49 | |
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Mouseketeer
Join Date: Apr 2012
Posts: 226
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I brought up a financial choice that I believe makes sense to some people and can pass the smell test. I understand you looking at a 50 point contract and saying it is 2 nights which is true. But I was saying he would have had points banked, current year and borrowable to allow the same length stay at that resort. You only see the 50 points a year, I see 150 every 3. I understand staying offsite and saving money to get a contract in cash, but how much are you going to spend offsite that you could have used to offset the higher cost of direct points? My friend has 5 adults essentially which is not a cheap room wherever you go. He would need 2 adjoining or a 2bed suite. If you stay offsite you have to factor in transportation to the resort and to the parks. Where I live it is usually a plane ride then Magical express or a rental car. If you are offsite you are either renting a car or some sort of public transportation from the airport. If you can drive to the hotel it is $14 a day for parking in the park. You have to look at the cost of food. Staying onsite dvc means you can at least get a dining plan if you want to try and save money at the park, but you can't if you stay offsite. When you look at the financing aspect of any purchase you have to remember that many people that stay off-site pay with a credit card and carry the balance for a few months which also generates interest costs. I am looking at the financial costs of 1 trip not many. The OP said they will stay anywhere to go to disney, they will not take time off to save up to pay cash for resale. The cost for a right sized contract resale plus the costs incurred in one off-site stay could very well be higher then buying direct and paying interest for a year. How is this advice worse then everyone saying to stay in an offsite hotel? I think that you have to look at the total cost of not only the individual point but the cost of the next year of travel. I think it is wasteful to give $900 to $1800 to a resort to attempt to save about $1000. I believe in buying the minimum amount of points you need, and if you have to you could buy 24 single use points to help make up the difference until you add on. |
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#50 |
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Join Date: Aug 1999
Posts: 28,655
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And that's on a DVC site. If you ask somewhere like TUG I'm sure it's far skewed to those for off site, esp when you factor in the higher costs. Even at the same costs it's likely not better than 50/50 on TUG.
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Dean
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#51 | |||||||||||
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DIS Veteran
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If I'm being truthful, I don't think that you are accurate or honest with your numbers. I'll comment throughout in order to give examples of this statement, but my general comment is that your numbers don't add up mathematically, they seem more like rationalizations and justifications. That's why I disagree with so much of what you say.
Well that's good to hear. I'm going to go point by point in my response so that I can speak specifically to the points in which we differ. Sorry if it seems a little dry that way.Quote:
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So just to be clear, you would advocate buying at direct prices, financing, AND paying $15 per point for one time use points, but you would not recommend renting and/or saving money for a resale purchase?
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#52 |
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Mouseketeer
Join Date: Apr 2012
Posts: 226
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I am using a single person as an example.
The difference between a 1 bedroom and 2 is that okw is 5 people in a 1 bedroom vs offsite of a 2 bedroom or adjoining single rooms. The friend who went to Disney actually saved money on the ddp quick serve plan. This bit of math goes back to you putting your habits or values on someone else. You think it's too much food he didn't. I have had dinner at his house and they eat dessert every day and eats snacks. How 2 boys can eat everything served and still be hungry I will never understand. This for him is a fact that ddp makes financial sense. You are different. I am using a 50 point contract for a reason. A 5 night stay in a 1 bedroom at okw is 105 points in sept. that's not using all his points for 3 years . If you buy direct in march and get an sept UY you would get 2012 points you could bank to 2013. Travel in sept 2013 using 50(2012),50(2013) and 5(SUP) Travel in sept 2014 same number of points but with (2014),(2015),(SUP) Again there are a lot of people that will say this is a smart way to go. There are a lot of people that have bought direct which allows disney to build these resorts and allows a resale market to exist. |
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#53 | |
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Join Date: Aug 1999
Posts: 28,655
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When we stay off property our costs vary and depend on where we stay and how we secure the reservations. Since I've recently been chastised by someone for using past costs, I'll only use future costs as they stand right now as best I can estimate them. I routinely include acquisition costs when they are significant and ignore them when they are negligible, they are only significant for Orlando for DVC using DVC points. I include exchange fees and underlying maint fees where applicable but will round them off since they vary by company and by the specific exchange options. II usually to Marriott's Grande Vista 2 or 3 BR. I generally get this with a very cheap deposit, bonus week, one of my free deposits that I put in II (vs the ones I put in RCI) or a Marriott studio using the internal trading prefernce. Respective costs are around $200-250 or less/$299 plus tax (less with some discounts)/$154 (the web based exchange fee)/$410 (prorated fees of the studio portion plus internal exchange fee). BG directly it's normally around either $650-800 for a week in a 2 BR or just under $600 if I do cash though normally it's in a presidential suite when I do cash there. RCI at a number of places for RCI weeks around $300 (exchange plus cost of underlying deposit) but varies a little up or down depending on TPU on both sides. RCI points (lower exchange fee) around $550 underlying costs ($300-400) plus exchange fee. To DVC currently based on the summer DVC availability around $450-500 for a 1BR, slightly more (higher TPU) for a 2BR including the $95 resort services fee. Buying VB for WDW is mathematically a more expensive option even including the time value of money but can be reasonable if used a fair portion of the time for VB. There is no scenario that financially justifies buying retail CURRENTLY IMO unless one is ONLY planning to buy a small contract of around 50 points or less. There may be other factors, we'll see one coming soon with GF. But it's the fact it's a small contract and not the other factors that makes the differences less or put another way, makes the savings less with resale, not the retail portion cheaper. The fact that some make poor choices and finance vacations (DVC or otherwise) does not justify one over the other. It's always a bad idea though there are many worse in life. The fact that we all have made poor choices at times or that a lot of people do it or even that one enjoyed the memories does not change that fact. Lastly, the current scenario (difference in costs) has not always been the situation. To compare and justify retail purchases you've really got to limit yourself to the last roughly 3 years or less to compare retail vs resale. Prior to around that the differences were far less than they are now where resale was more in the 80% of retail range instead of the around $50-60% it is now. Since resale has decreased in price/value and retail has continued to go up.
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Dean
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#54 |
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For what it's worth, I read that thread and I don't think you should make any changes to the way you share information based on those "criticisms". That poster would've argued with you if you had said the sun was bright and water was wet.
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#55 |
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Join Date: Aug 1999
Posts: 28,655
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LOL, thanks. I think the ultimate point was/is a valid one but did feel that the main purpose was something different and more personal for some reason. Then again I know I've posted things that people took personally that were not intended as such so I try to give the benefit of the doubt when possible.
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Dean
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#56 |
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Mouseketeer
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 351
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This discussion took an interesting turn!
In the long (and short) run, it's looking more and more like DVC is a huge rip off bought retail and financed. Resale paying cash makes sense if you have $10,000-$15,000 in the bank on top of other savings for emergencies and retirement. Also need to have $80/month to painlessly send away for main. fees. Still, you can stay at very nice resort for a week every year at Disney for the cost of maintenance fees alone and rent points around $11 a point if mods or bonnet creek etc. don't cut it. $7 a point over life of the contract vs $11 a point resale. About 38% off. Nearly 48% off vs $13 a point. Or I could pay $700 or less for a 1 bedroom at bonnet creek for 7 nights vs $1,500 a week at old key west based on $7 a point and 217 points for a week. So DVC purchased resale and not financed is still double the cost of similar non-disney accommodations located on site. That's what gets me! |
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#57 | |
![]() Earning My Ears One At A Time Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: North Texas
Posts: 14,244
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Bill
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#58 |
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Mouseketeer
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 325
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We bought though Disney and we borrowed the Money to do it. We are very happy with our purchase. Its some of the best money we ever spent but we could affort the monthly payment. If you want DVC and can afford it go for it. Some people are into crunching the numbers and big saving I'm not its about vacation and spending time with my family to me.
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#59 | |
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Join Date: Aug 1999
Posts: 28,655
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IMO, one of the things that gives DVC a better value is it's flexibility. While there are those out there that will say DVC is far more flexible than everything else across the board, this is simply not true. You really have to look at the context and situation. However, when it comes to staying at WDW, needing different sized units, staying odd and varying lengths and changing your plans at times; DVC is the most flexible I am aware of for the average member (non VIP with other points systems). For those that fit into that situation, DVC's value rises and the cost for many other options increases modestly (in comparison). Thus for one who generally goes in increments of a week in the same size unit most of the time during the same time of year, DVC's value in comparison falls dramatically. The truth is that I feel that for many owning a smaller DVC package and non DVC timeshare (esp another mini system) is the best mix of cost, value and options. Let me also go back to your impression that DVC is double. While it is more, I don't think it's quite double for the small player. There is an economy of scale for non DVC timeshares and certain situations that does not exist for the person getting started. Just to pick some situations, here are a few comparisons for someone looking at this small time, say a week a year in Orlando in a 2 BR at a nice place for summer. I'll use rough numbers but I think there really very close. DVC SSR resale $15-16K with fees around $1500-1600 a year in fees (300 points) Bluegreen resale - $500 with yearly fees $1100 (18K points) or so plus maybe another $50 a year (averaged) for banking fees and cancelation fees. This will get you a week a year in Orlando any season at the top resort in the best non presidential suite. It will also give you the option to trade in to DVC for a 2 BR, add another $284 currently if you do. It also gives you direct access to other options and a much better trade option than using DVC for non DVC locations. Wyndham 2 BR deluxe at Bonnet Creek roughly $1000 (224K points) inclusive to buy in assuming you get a good contract, maybe less if you get a resort that has higher fees. Yearly fees somewhat variable but roughly $1000-1200 a year. All the other statements about Bluegreen apply pretty much the same. Marriott - buy at Grande Vista $3K (or less if you try) with yearly fees $1000-1100. Add II membership (?$89/yr) to it if you plan to trade and $109 currently if you trade to another Marriott, $189 for non Marriott. You do get the option of 2 trades a year instead of one though. Worst case scenario would be $1300 a yr currently for one week. For most GV contracts you can also reserve at the other FL club sites and can do 3 & 4 day stays instead. Marriott other places and trade in could be as low as $2-300 purchase including closing (assume $600 or so) and yearly more in the $900 range for the one I'm thinking of and up to $1200 if you trade to Orlando one week a year though you might trade for a 3BR instead of a 2BR. Marriott trust points simply too high for this purpose. RCI points maybe $1500-2000 purchase for enough points with good fees and yearly fees very variable but where mine are would give you fees roughly $800-850 for around 100K points which should get you into any 2 BR anywhere except DVC and would be enough to get you every year with DVC about half the time. Add yearly RCI points membership under $100, exchange fee $139 and for DVC, $95 resort services fee. Roughly $1100 a year with direct access to the entire RCI inventory (points and weeks). There are many other options but these are some of the more simple and better choices and are ones I know enough about to at least be coherent. So for this comparison that favors non DVC options and negates the current flexibility of DVC, DVC is close to double (likely a little less than double without running the numbers) if you factor in the time value of the up front costs and the higher fees. Given the other benefits and flexibility to DVC, I normally look at it as about 30-40% more. Historically the up front costs haven't been as dramatically different as they are now so the last couple of years have skewed the numbers to favor non DVC even more. DVC also gives many the ability to avoid a rental car and there are a few other added value perks (pass discounts). Thus, IMO, DVC is still very reasonable if you meet certain situation requirements and on property has value to you and yours.
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Dean
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#60 | |
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DIS Veteran
Join Date: Feb 2002
Posts: 20,511
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I don't know in any case if its a huge ripoff. It is a luxury purchase. Right now, bought direct, it it is a luxury on the scale of a new, high end Mercedes. You want a new car, and you decide you need a German engineered car. You can buy a $100,000 Mercedes brand new off the lot. You can buy a mid range Audi brand new off the lot for $60k. You can buy that Mercedes a year old for $80k and that Audit for $40k. But you could also by an older Jetta for $5k that is perfectly servicable and will get you from point A to point B. I don't know many people who drive brand new $100k Mercedes. I know a few people who choose to afford a $40k slightly used Audi (that's my husband's car - a slightly used mid range Audi), but most people I know drive a car that is perfectly serviceable - and a few just use public transportation and don't own a car. I'll add one thing to Dean's post - the best choice for flexibility is CASH. Whether you rent timeshare units for your travels or stay in hotels, cash provides the most flexibility. |
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