Just wanted to follow up here now that we've been doing this for a whie. And it seems that you'd have been wrong about the ease and availablity of booking. Seems like it's pretty frequent that HS has no passes available to book after 1 or 2. Sure if you'd booked them earlier and stacked you'd have rides. But I've looked daily and SSD is gone by 705. Yesterday even toy story was mostly sold out by 430. At 330 the return time for RNRC was almost 9 pm. The earlier "Genie + will be so great" seemed to indicate you'd just be able to book times all day long from open to close and it would never run out. Heck, if you aren't on site you don't even have a shot at ROR. At 840 am, it's already sold out before off site has a shot. So it seems to me that its not all rainbows and unicorns.
Today this doesn't even work. at not even 9 am, Millenium Falcon is already booked out past 4, yesterday at 11 am, the return times were after 8 pm. ROTR is sold out. And heaven forbid you want to use any LL earlier in the day at a different park.
My plan was always to revisit in higher crowds. I was planning on doing an examination next week, during the ultra high crowds of Thanksgiving.
But let's see how my earlier comments are holding up now, with increasing crowds, but still not 10/10:
At least in low crowd days, it appears we can safely put to rest the whole, "I'll need to be on my phone at 7am!"
With the exception of DHS, you're perfectly safe (in low crowds), simply booking your G+ passes on your way to the park.
For DHS, if you want ROTR... while 7am isn't necessary, definitely want to do it in the fairly early morning.
For Slinky Dog, if you want a morning/early afternoon return time, you will need to book quite early. If you wait till 10:30am or later, you are going to be looking at limited availability-evening return times.
As I write this, it's 9:30 a.m., the parks are crowded. Yet, everything I said above is still true. At Magic Kingdom, every attraction is still available. Every attraction still has morning return times except Peter Pan, Mine Train and Jungle Cruise.
Epcot still has plenty of availability, nothing sold out. Remy and Test Track are already pushed into the deeper afternoon.
Animal Kingdom -- Everything remains available. Morning return times for everything, except FOP which is afternoon times available.
DHS continues to be the most challenging, as I said from the start. Yet, everything is still available except Slinky Dog and Rise of the Resistance. So the only thing truly worse than I posted above, is Slinky. Slinky is now becoming the equivalent to the ROTR boarding groups, when they were free. Just like you had to get a ROTR boarding group right at 7, that's now the case for Slinky. ROTR continues to be available past 7, but it does sell out often before 9, making it hard for off-site guests. (Of course, off-site guests would have zero chance of ever getting ROTR at 30 days, if the old system was still in use).
So no shock, as crowds have increased, things have gotten a little worse. But still a million times better than FP+. The ONLY sold out individual purchase LL is ROTR. Meaning both on-site and off-site guests can book FOP, Mine Train, Runaway Railroad, etc. Under FP+, none of these rides would be available at 30 days, and often they wouldn't even be available at 60 days.
The only attraction in all of WDW that requires you to be on your phone right at 7am, is Slinky Dog. But that's just a trade from ROTR being the 7:00 VQ to it being Slinky.
So then you quoted my specific DHS plan that I hypothesized about. This was what I projected in low crowds, let's see how it holds up in higher crowds:
Personally -- the way DHS return times are stacking up, I'd be tempted to turn the morning into a resort day, and collect G+/LL's for afternoon/evening use. To do this, just basically log-in every 2 hours.
Before 9am -- Purchase afternoon/evening times for ROTR and MMRR. Watch the G+ return times, and book an afternoon/evening time.
At 11am, book Millennium Falcon -afternoon/evening return time.
At 1pm - Book RNR or TOT for 3-4pm.
At 3-4pm, head to DHS. If you arrive at DHS at 4, you should have 4 passes all times between 4-6. Around 3-4, you'll book the other TOT/RNR for about a 6pm return time. So you'll really have 5 passes stacked to use from 4-6:15. Around 5, you'll be able to book another G+, say TSM for 7pm. So at 6:15, you take a dinner break. At 7, you redeem TSM and book another 8pm G+ (Star Tours or Swirling Saucers). You do 1 of those 2 attractions standby, and one with G+. (potentially both with G+).
This itinerary gives you a pass for every true attraction at DHS, all to be used from 4pm to 9pm. Not bad.
So, in higher crowds, I'd have to modify the first step -- Instead of "before 9am".. it would be "at 7am"
So at 7:00am, purchase ROTR, MMRR, and get an afternoon return time for Slinky.
I said, at 11am, get a Millennium Falcon G+ -- well, afternoon G+ is still available as I write this at 9:40. I'll check back at 11am and reply to this post.
I suggested that at 1 and 3, you'd book TOT and RNR -- That still looks like it will be possible. RNR return time is currently 12:25 and TOT is 1:55.
So I'll post in this thread today as if I'm going through the day:
At 7:00am, I purchased a 3-4 ROTR and a 4-5MMRR. I got a G+ for 3pm on Slinky.
I went back to bed. Got up at 10 for coffee, casual breakfast. At 11, I'll book another G+ and then head to the pool.
I already have passes for ROTR, MMRR and Slinky. Under FP+, with their tiers, it would have been impossible to have all three. So I'm already ahead of the old system. But let's see how far ahead of the old system I can get. I'll be back after 11...
11am edit -- Per my plan above, at 11am, I was going to book Smuggler's Run, with an afternoon or evening return time. So let's see if that's still possible:
At exactly 11am, for my second stacked G+ reservation -- 5:55 Smuggler's Run available.
So as I prepare to head down to the pool at 11am.... I now have 4 "tier 1" stacked DHS passes in my pocket:
I have 3-4 ROTR. 3-4 Slinky. 4-5 MMRR and 5:55-6:55 MF:SR
So 4 passes that I can redeem over a 2-4 hour window.
Doing pretty good so far. In fact, so far, still pretty consistent with the "low crowd" plan that I outlined above. Definitely far better than FP+... wouldn't be able to get four tier-1 FPs for DHS before even entering the park!
So after swimming and relaxing in the hot tub, grabbing a bite, I'll check in at 1pm, for my last pre-park G+ stacked reservation. My low crowd plan was to book TOT or RNR at 1. It looks like this will remain possible, as RNR and TOT are both still showing afternoon return times. But I'll check in at 1...
Sorry I'm late... it's 1:30 as I look at
Genie+.. .So first real failure of the low crowd plan. TOT is gone. RNR is still around with a 6:05 return time.
So as of my 1-1:30 casual morning, as I stack by DHS afternoon, I now have:
3:00 Slinky
3:00 ROTR
4:00 MMRR
5:55 Smuggler's Run
6:05 RNR
5 passes.... For 5 of the top 6 rides at DHS. Before even entering the park. No way I could have ever done that with FP+..
So in my hypothetical day, I'll now finish up a light lunch, and start heading to the park soon. Looking to arrive at DHS around 3pm..
At 3pm, I'll be able to book TWO more G+, but availability will be limited by then. (to explain, if I booked RNR at 1, then I get the 2 hour window at 3. But if I board Slinky first, then I can also book a new FP for that check-in).
So in this mid level crowd day, I'm still doing well. 5 LL passes, timed from 3-6. My plan at this juncture... At 3pm, I'd like to book 2 out of 3: Star Tours, Saucers, TSM. If I'm successful, I'll have gotten 7 LL passes, during a mid-crowd level day at DHS...
I'll be back at 3...
Back at 3..
Enter the park a bit before 3..
at 3, I check in at Slinky and book TSM -- 7:05 return time. With the 2 hour rule, I also book Saucers for 7:30...
So, it's now 3pm, and I have 7 LL Passes on a mid crowd day!!
Review -- LL's and nice evening plan:
3:00 Slinky
3:00 ROTR
4:00 MMRR
4:30pm -- Early dinner
5:55 Smuggler's Run
6:05 RNR
7:05 TSM
7:30 Saucer
So after Saucers at 7:30, the only true "attractions" that I didn't get LL passes for were Star Tours and TOT... I can do them both standby after Saucers...
OR... I might be able to get another G+ at 5...
But, overall, seems my "low crowd" plan still functioned beautifully in a mid-crowd day.
Next week, I'll revisit for 10/10 crowds. I do NOT expect to so easily get 7 LLs on Thanksgiving. But Genie+ will be a huge success if I can get 4 premium LLs or more. Optimistically, I'd love to still get 5-6 during high crowds... we will find out..